Bryce's October Predictions

Well here are my predictions. I will omit my baits to keep things fair. One thing I noticed is that out of the GGs and Sags only two to three BOTM winners voted, so I think come Oscar time there will be a lot of surprises.


Best Adapted Screenplay
Criminal Origins
**The Cloud**
The Dark Tower I: The Gunslinger
The Gold of Cajamarca
Thoroughly Modern Millie

not many adapted baits this month, so not much to choose from. I think this i a wide open category, and really anyone can get a win, but I'm going to predict THe Cloud wins, since it has the baitiest story out of the five. But I think Criminal Origins or The Dark tower can pull an upset.


Best Original Screenplay
Behind Closed Doors
Tabula Rasa
For Pay
The Dead President
**Harvey Black.**

Even though Harvey Black. has been losing buzz, I think the academy will support it more than the general public on the forums. Also it's Charlie Kaufman, a very hard person to bait, and I feel Harvey Black. correctly captured the Kaufman feel. Expect The Dead President or Behind Closed Doors to sneak in and take home the win instead.

Best Supporting Actress
**Maggie Gyllenhaal for Behind Closed Doors**
Patrica Wettig for The Dead President
Dominique Swain for For Pay
Megan Mullaly for Thoroughly Modern Millie
Linda Cardellini for The Good Guy

Supporting Actress category seems to mirror the supporting actress category for real life. It seems to be a weak cateogry IMO and I think Maggie will go on to win the award (like she has been doing) I have a feeling the academy will like the Good Guy better than the forum users so I think it's likely Linda will be nominated. I think Swain or Wettig could pull an upset as well.


Best Supporting Actor
**Dennis Haysbert for Criminal Origins**
Jeremy Piven for The Dead President
Richard Chamberlain for For Pay
Ethan Hawk for Stanford's Prison
David Strathirn for The Cloud

Even though Pivan has been winning the precursors I think the academy will embrace Haysbert. But, Piven could pull an upset. I think it's down to those two, with Chamberlain being the second likely upset. I feel Stanford's Prisons will also be better embrace by the academy and I think this is where it will get it's acting nod.


Best Actress
Fairuza Balk for Switching Time
Lisa Kudrow for The Ice Princess
Natalie Portman for The Cloud
**Sutton Foster for Thoroughly Modern Millie**
Meryl Streep for A Modern Tale

I'm going with Sutton Foster because she had such a perfect role, I'm surprised she was beat by Meryl. I actually think the actress category is pretty competitive this month. All the nominees had some great roles. This could go either way, but I think this will be between Sutton, Meryl, and Fairuza, but I feel Modern Millie will be embraced better than A Modern Tale so I'm gonna go with Sutton, but anything can happen.


Best Actor
Jude Law for Tabula Rasa
Jeff Bridges for The Dead President
**Macaulay Culkin for For Pay**
John Goodman for Behind Closed Doors
Christopher Walken for Harvey Black.

Goodman has been having a great run so far, but I think Behind closed doors won't be as embraced as it was on the forums. This is between Jeff Bridges and Macaulay Culkin. I'm going with Culkin because he has a lot more buzz than Jeff and For Pay seems to be the only bait that can stop The Dead President at this moment. Although I think Jude Law could pull off a upset. Tony has done that before with Dr. Death.


Best Picture
**For Pay**
The Dead President
Harvey Black.
Tabula Rasa
Thoroughly Modern Millie

Very tough category. Even though I wouldn't count out Criminal Origins, The Cloud, or Behind closed Doors, I think that the academy will go in a different direction than the precursors (as far as the last two slots goes). I think Criminal Origins will be ultimately snubbed because sadly it's a video game bait (and I wish it was up there but if Fallout couldn't do it (which I thought was zGamer's best VG bait) Then I don't think Criminal Origins can do it. Although, this is a weak month so hopefully it won't matter) Tony has been on a roll lately. The Winter Sun, To Dwell In Evil...Tabula Rasa will be up there, and I think Tony has a great chance of winning...although people have been saying that for the past two months. Harvey Black., like I said earlier, will be embraced by the academy more than the forums. I think, obviously, this comes down to For Pay and The Dead President. Although The Dead President has a lot more buzz, I think the academy isn't ready for another two time BOTM winner and would rather give it to Alfredo, who was snubbed for Sixty Days in 67. But, I wouldn't be suprised if Pat walked off with another win.

Anyway, good luck to all!